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Qapital Insights

Academic rigor meets entrepreneurial reality. We analyze company acquisitions through a behavioral finance lens - finding mispriced opportunities that institutional buyers miss. 25 years of building businesses + PhD research in behavioral finance = practical insights for the bootstrapped acquirer.

Featured Post

10 Principles that turn good businesses into great acquisitions

The dealmaker’s playbook: 10 principles that turn good businesses into great acquisitions Most acquisition advice focuses on financial engineering or negotiation tactics. But the real edge comes from understanding human psychology and business fundamentals. After analyzing hundreds of deals across fintech, healthcare services, and software companies, these ten principles consistently separate successful acquirers from those who overpay for mediocre businesses. Read more

MercadoLibre behavioral equity analysis: When regional bias creates opportunity MercadoLibre analysis reveals how geographic bias creates a 60-150% upside opportunity in Latin America's dominant e-commerce platform. Forward P/E compressed 87% despite strengthening fundamentals and network effects. Quality business at crisis valuations for patient capital. Read more

Behavioral analysis: What Novo Nordisk's 60% decline reveals about market psychology Novo Nordisk down 60% despite strong fundamentals. Our behavioral analysis reveals why market psychology creates acquisition opportunities for investors. Read more

Warren Buffett's $100 billion brain hack: The psychology behind his returns Today, we're decoding the four mental frameworks that separated Buffett from everyone else. This isn't motivation. It's applied neuroscience that transformed a normal brain into a wealth-building machine. Read article

The $850 million mistake: How anchoring bias destroyed a hedge fund This isn’t just another trading disaster story. This is about anchoring bias—a psychological trap so subtle that even Nobel Prize winners fall victim. And it’s probably costing you money right now. Read more

How to build a Small-Cap discovery machine Three years ago, I relied on newsletters, Twitter threads, and "hot tips" from other investors. My hit rate was terrible—maybe 1 in 10 ideas actually worked out. The problem wasn't the quality of the tips; it was that by the time something reaches the newsletter circuit, it's already been discovered. The breakthrough came when I realized successful investors don't find great companies by accident. They have systems. Warren Buffett doesn't stumble...

Why we focus on service companies (and how behavioral finance gives us an edge) Welcome to our new direction. After years of analyzing public companies like everyone else, we're shifting our focus to something far more interesting and profitable. Here's what we've learned: 73% of acquisitions fail to create value. Not because of financial metrics or market conditions, but because of psychology. Human biases, emotional attachment, and flawed decision-making destroy deals before they even...

Warren Buffett’s investment success stems from his methodical analysis of financial statements and his focus on long-term value creation. Today we will break down his approach using real-world examples and practical applications. Key principles: Focus on fundamentals over market sentiment Long-term investment horizon Understanding financial statements deeply Looking for sustainable competitive advantages Read more >>

Remember when tech companies could burn through cash like there was no tomorrow? Those days are fading fast. Some of the biggest names in tech have pulled off an impressive magic trick – turning years of losses into serious profits. And they’ve done it through what might be the most powerful force in business: operating leverage. Read more on how these 5 companies increased profits fast

This week in our posts on the Kings of Capital, well-known investors providing us with valuable insights: Peter Lynch. Peter Lynch reshaped the scene at Fidelity's Magellan Fund. He took a modest $18 million portfolio and turned it into a staggering $14 billion between 1977 and 1990. The fund achieved an average annual return of 29.2%. His soaring win came from a straightforward investment approach that dedicated investors can learn and apply, not from complex financial models or...